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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4BreakTheBankRN1ropetard
Record (consensus markets)no settled market46% (560–667, n=1227)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)75% (86–29, n=115)
Consensus PnL—$9.4M$14.8M$86K
Tracked as—PM monthly #1PM monthly #30 + pinnedPM monthly #367
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position59% (17 of 29 open)60% (142 of 238 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • NBA +8 pts n=131, ROI +2%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%57% of 133 at avg 49¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 80% of 61)10% (won 57% of 2538)6% (won 25% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 203)22% (won 94% of 5565)41% (won 44% of 55)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 201)36% (won 99% of 9017)50% (won 71% of 66)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 115)33% (won 100% of 8250)3% (won 75% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4BreakTheBankRN1ropetard
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $29KPelicans $136—
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $17KPelicans $130—
Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
—Jazz $283Pelicans $154—
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
same side · consensus Pacers
—Grizzlies $343Grizzlies $118—