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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4BreakTheBankRN1xyz.eww
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (572–710, n=1282)47% (14161–15670, n=29831)57% (17–13, n=30)
Consensus PnL—$7.9M$14.8M$17K
Tracked as—PM monthly #2PM monthly #32 + pinnedPM monthly #749
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position84% (26 of 31 open)61% (44 of 72 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • NBA +21 pts n=12, ROI +26%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%57% of 30 at avg 38¢, ROI +17%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 82% of 60)10% (won 57% of 2593)30% (won 22% of 9)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 204)22% (won 94% of 5682)43% (won 62% of 13)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 202)35% (won 99% of 9181)27% (won 88% of 8)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 116)33% (won 100% of 8519)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4BreakTheBankRN1xyz.eww
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $601Jaguars $3.2K—
Spread: Jaguars (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $1.3KJaguars $174—
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Warriors $3.5KWarriors $510—