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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4BreakTheBankhaveagooddayndb1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (573–710, n=1283)38% (1561–2544, n=4105)66% (901–474, n=1375)
Consensus PnL—$9.4M$31K$4.5M
Tracked as—PM monthly #3PM monthly #122PM monthly #100
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position85% (29 of 34 open)72% (278 of 384 open)72% (109 of 151 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Elections −3 pts, n=555NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%61% of 2399 at avg 63¢, ROI +1%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 80% of 61)32% (won 1% of 760)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 203)4% (won 42% of 101)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 201)7% (won 63% of 156)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 115)58% (won 96% of 1382)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4BreakTheBankhaveagooddayndb1
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $25Yes $2.4K
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $407K—No $335K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $278K—Yes $11K
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
same side · consensus No
——No $23No $83K
Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?
same side · consensus No
——No $348No $2.0K
Will Barcelona finish first in UCL league phase?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $28No $34
Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?
same side · consensus No
——No $41No $13