← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | whig | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 62% (367–224, n=591) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $9.4M | $5.6M | $321K |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #911 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 59% (17 of 29 open) | no open consensus position | 57% (13 of 23 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | Finance −7 pts, n=26 |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 47% of 622 at avg 40¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 45% (won 13% of 280) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 18% (won 43% of 109) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 13% (won 81% of 79) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 25% (won 95% of 154) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | whig |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $258K | — | Yes $9.0K |