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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4FlaznorpHyperlongndb1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market53% (5952–5311, n=11263)49% (299–316, n=615)65% (892–472, n=1364)
Consensus PnL—$3.3M-$88K$4.6M
Tracked as—PM monthly #22was PM monthly #998PM monthly #96
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position70% (313 of 450 open)56% (48 of 85 open)78% (39 of 50 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22Crypto −7 pts, n=83NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%47% of 595 at avg 48¢, ROI −2%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 423)44% (won 2% of 260)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 34% of 38)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢—17% (won 62% of 255)8% (won 54% of 46)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up—38% (won 94% of 561)42% (won 93% of 251)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4FlaznorpHyperlongndb1
Will Illinois win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship?
same side · consensus No
——No $5.2KNo $164
Will Florida win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.1KNo $206
Will Erling Haaland score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?
same side · consensus No
——No $309No $216