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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | GingerMcKenna | joseph00677 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 30% (1511–3563, n=5074) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 65% (902–484, n=1386) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $34K | $5.3M | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | — | was PM monthly #404 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #102 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 60% (342 of 571 open) | no open consensus position | 71% (107 of 151 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | Tech −3 pts, n=329 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 38% of 2743 at avg 38¢, ROI −2% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 59% (won 2% of 1618) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 4% (won 28% of 100) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 4% (won 75% of 106) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 34% (won 98% of 919) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | GingerMcKenna | joseph00677 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benfica win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $18 | — | Yes $1 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | — | No $1 | — | No $335K |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus No | — | No $25 | — | No $2.4K |
| Will Luka Doncic win the 2026-27 NBA MVP? same side · consensus No | — | No $26 | — | No $39 |
| Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? same side · consensus No | — | No $19 | — | No $13 |
| Will Porto win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship? same side · consensus No | — | No $9 | — | No $6 |