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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | LightParadox | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 67% (43–21, n=64) | 54% (658–567, n=1225) | 66% (876–458, n=1334) | 47% (14329–15967, n=30296) |
| Consensus PnL | $6.1M | $23K | $4.1M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #197 | PM monthly #26 | PM monthly #18 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 52% (66 of 126 open) | 75% (27 of 36 open) | 57% (25 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 100% of 392 at avg 70¢, ROI +35% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 6% (won 100% of 23) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 19% (won 100% of 76) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 20% (won 100% of 78) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 55% (won 100% of 215) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | LightParadox | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-11-03? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $662 | — | Yes $597 |
| Villa Maria: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Mateo Del Pino opposite sides · consensus Juan Manuel La Serna | — | Juan Manuel La Serna $140 | — | Mateo Del Pino $316 |