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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4joseph00677LightParadoxRN1
Record (consensus markets)68% (43–20, n=63)53% (10–9, n=19)53% (602–526, n=1128)47% (14202–15801, n=30003)
Consensus PnL$5.9M$5.6M$23K$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #24PM monthly #2PM monthly #285PM monthly #18 + pinned
Sides with the consensus100% (2 of 2 open)no open consensus position52% (46 of 88 open)59% (32 of 54 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +25 pts n=237, ROI +29%
  • NBA +45 pts n=13, ROI +47%
  • Tennis +25 pts n=18, ROI +21%
Weakest topicNBA −6 pts, n=93———
Settled positions, side won57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 284 at avg 72¢, ROI +29%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 17% of 6)12% (won 0% of 2)7% (won 100% of 21)10% (won 57% of 2537)
Entries 30–50¢30% (won 57% of 63)6% (won 0% of 1)17% (won 100% of 48)22% (won 94% of 5518)
Entries 50–70¢54% (won 51% of 115)65% (won 73% of 11)14% (won 100% of 40)36% (won 99% of 8928)
Entries 70¢ and up14% (won 86% of 29)18% (won 67% of 3)62% (won 100% of 175)32% (won 100% of 7821)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4joseph00677LightParadoxRN1
W100 Incheon: Xinxin Yao vs Hanna Chang
opposite sides · consensus Xinxin Yao
——Hanna Chang $23Xinxin Yao $450
W50 Heraklion: Lia Karatancheva vs Eliska Tichackova
opposite sides · consensus Eliska Tichackova
——Lia Karatancheva $97Eliska Tichackova $285
Luanda: Sofya Lansere vs Angella Okutoyi
same side · consensus Sofya Lansere
——Sofya Lansere $3.6KSofya Lansere $4.4K
Chennai Open: Jeline Vandromme vs Kyoka Okamura
same side · consensus Jeline Vandromme
——Jeline Vandromme $39Jeline Vandromme $2.7K
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Alexandra Shubladze vs Liudmila Samsonova
same side · consensus Liudmila Samsonova
——Liudmila Samsonova $1.9KLiudmila Samsonova $218
Rolex Paris Masters: Andrey Rublev vs Tomas Etcheverry
same side · consensus Tomas Etcheverry
——Tomas Etcheverry $10Tomas Etcheverry $499
Vissel Kobe vs. Ratchaburi FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $8Yes $136