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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4joseph00677primmwhig
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (10–12, n=22)50% (1105–1117, n=2222)62% (414–251, n=665)
Consensus PnL—$5.3M$3.6M$348K
Tracked as—PM monthly #2PM monthly #47was PM monthly #927
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position70% (40 of 57 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic———Finance −7 pts, n=26
Settled positions, side won—59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%47% of 622 at avg 40¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢—12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)45% (won 13% of 280)
Entries 30–50¢—6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 412)18% (won 43% of 109)
Entries 50–70¢—65% (won 73% of 11)50% (won 99% of 503)13% (won 81% of 79)
Entries 70¢ and up—18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 47)25% (won 95% of 154)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.