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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | ndb1 | RN1 | Venusian | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 67% (43–21, n=64) | 66% (875–459, n=1334) | 47% (14288–15920, n=30208) | 54% (682–570, n=1252) |
| Consensus PnL | $6.1M | $4.1M | $14.8M | $22K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #18 + pinned | PM monthly #431 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 70% (30 of 43 open) | 55% (23 of 42 open) | 52% (62 of 120 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 417 at avg 71¢, ROI +34% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) | 6% (won 100% of 26) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) | 16% (won 100% of 65) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) | 23% (won 100% of 96) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) | 55% (won 100% of 230) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | ndb1 | RN1 | Venusian |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chennai Open: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Mai Hontama opposite sides · consensus Mananchaya Sawangkaew | — | — | Mananchaya Sawangkaew $3.3K | Mai Hontama $2.7K |
| Spread: AS Roma (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Manchester United FC | — | — | Manchester United FC $2.3K | AS Roma $3 |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Holger Rune opposite sides · consensus Tommy Paul | — | — | Tommy Paul $2.1K | Holger Rune $76 |
| Bratislava 2: Eero Vasa vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg opposite sides · consensus Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | — | — | Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg $494 | Eero Vasa $6 |
| Luanda: Zongyu Li vs Ana Sofia Sanchez opposite sides · consensus Ana Sofia Sanchez | — | — | Zongyu Li $3 | Ana Sofia Sanchez $330 |
| Taranto: Raul Brancaccio vs Kilian Feldbausch same side · consensus Kilian Feldbausch | — | — | Kilian Feldbausch $13K | Kilian Feldbausch $2.8K |
| Chennai Open: Maaya Rajeshwaran Revathi vs Katarzyna Kawa same side · consensus Katarzyna Kawa | — | — | Maaya Rajeshwaran Revathi $6.7K | Maaya Rajeshwaran Revathi $286 |