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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| betdge | BreakTheBank | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (1407–1449, n=2856) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 49% (1224–1251, n=2475) | 48% (18678–20261, n=38939) |
| Consensus PnL | $146K | $7.6M | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #874 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #52 | PM monthly #33 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 89% (32 of 36 open) | 50% (2 of 4 open) | 61% (37 of 61 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −4 pts, n=565 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 49% of 2386 at avg 48¢, ROI −1% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 16% (won 19% of 388) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 37% (won 40% of 874) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 61% of 834) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 12% (won 84% of 290) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | betdge | BreakTheBank | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Bengals (-3.5) same side · consensus Bengals | — | — | Falcons $9.9K | Falcons $5.1K |
| Spread: Bengals (-4.5) same side · consensus Bengals | — | — | Falcons $1.7K | Falcons $242 |