← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| betdge | ndb1 | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (1308–1343, n=2651) | 63% (1095–632, n=1727) | 50% (1248–1260, n=2508) | 48% (17936–19365, n=37301) |
| Consensus PnL | $132K | $4.6M | $3.6M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #874 | PM monthly #111 | PM monthly #48 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 71% (70 of 98 open) | 70% (7 of 10 open) | 56% (55 of 98 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
|
|
| Weakest topic | NFL −4 pts, n=565 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 49% of 2386 at avg 48¢, ROI −1% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 16% (won 19% of 388) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 37% (won 40% of 874) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 61% of 834) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 12% (won 84% of 290) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | betdge | ndb1 | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Seahawks (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | — | — | Cardinals $6.8K | Seahawks $4.3K |
| Cardinals vs. Seahawks opposite sides · consensus Seahawks | — | — | Cardinals $5.7K | Seahawks $935 |
| Cardinals vs. Seahawks: O/U 42.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.8K | Over $1.1K |
| Spread: Seahawks (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | — | — | Cardinals $1.9K | Seahawks $2.0K |
| Packers vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $803 | Over $1.8K |
| Spread: Seahawks (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | — | — | Cardinals $201 | Seahawks $2.0K |
| Packers vs. Patriots same side · consensus Packers | — | — | Packers $70K | Packers $3.6K |