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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
big8betzBreakTheBankFlaznorpprimm
Record (consensus markets)52% (66–62, n=128)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)50% (1248–1261, n=2509)
Consensus PnL$121K$7.7M$4.1M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #207PM monthly #1PM monthly #16PM monthly #46
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position81% (29 of 36 open)73% (85 of 116 open)73% (11 of 15 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +17 pts n=28, ROI +13%
  • NBA +7 pts n=30, ROI +12%
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNFL −2 pts, n=11—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won57% of 76 at avg 48¢, ROI +11%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢14% (won 27% of 11)10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 44% of 27)36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢46% (won 77% of 35)35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up4% (won 33% of 3)20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbig8betzBreakTheBankFlaznorpprimm
Spread: Bears (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Bears $96—Buccaneers $3.4K