Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
biying99999BreakTheBankjoseph00677primm
Record (consensus markets)47% (128–143, n=271)41% (589–853, n=1442)43% (10–13, n=23)50% (1248–1260, n=2508)
Consensus PnL$12K$7.7M$3.3M$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #444PM monthly #1PM monthly #8PM monthly #48
Sides with the consensus13% (2 of 16 open)80% (43 of 54 open)no open consensus position64% (14 of 22 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +52 pts n=61, ROI +52%
  • NFL +48 pts n=38, ROI +46%
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 113 at avg 50¢, ROI +49%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢0%10% (won 82% of 60)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢54% (won 100% of 61)36% (won 98% of 212)6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢44% (won 100% of 50)35% (won 100% of 205)65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up2% (won 100% of 2)20% (won 100% of 116)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbiying99999BreakTheBankjoseph00677primm
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
76ers $10Bulls $103K——
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
No $33No $300K——
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
—Colts $59K—Colts $5.7K