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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
biying99999joseph00677ndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)48% (152–168, n=320)43% (10–13, n=23)63% (1100–635, n=1735)48% (19699–21461, n=41160)
Consensus PnL$12K$3.2M$4.6M$14.9M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #444PM monthly #7PM monthly #110PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensus60% (12 of 20 open)no open consensus position71% (67 of 94 open)58% (42 of 72 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +52 pts n=64, ROI +52%
  • NFL +48 pts n=40, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +46 pts n=10, ROI +44%
Weakest topic——NFL −7 pts, n=158—
Settled positions, side won100% of 124 at avg 50¢, ROI +49%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0%12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 14% of 196)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢55% (won 100% of 68)6% (won 0% of 1)18% (won 40% of 283)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢44% (won 100% of 54)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 58% of 348)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up2% (won 100% of 2)18% (won 67% of 3)46% (won 94% of 710)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbiying99999joseph00677ndb1RN1
Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $30——Over $15
CD Tecnico Universitario vs. Manta FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $26——Under $4.3K
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
Lakers $31——Lakers $495
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)
same side · consensus Rockets
Rockets $63——Rockets $369
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)
same side · consensus Rockets
Rockets $31——Rockets $139
Will Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $30——No $34