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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| black-rabbit | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (377–276, n=653) | 41% (587–850, n=1437) | 63% (1014–591, n=1605) | 47% (14701–16266, n=30967) |
| Consensus PnL | $484K | $7.6M | $4.8M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #781 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #98 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 88% (29 of 33 open) | 72% (63 of 87 open) | 58% (53 of 91 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 633 at avg 50¢, ROI +9% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 28% (won 5% of 177) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 23% of 104) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 86% of 152) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 32% (won 99% of 200) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | black-rabbit | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | — | No $409K | No $337K | — |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $280K | Yes $11K | — |
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $34K | Under $2.6K |