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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| boyau | ndb1 | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (168–245, n=413) | 65% (902–484, n=1386) | 50% (1106–1117, n=2223) | 47% (13886–15398, n=29284) |
| Consensus PnL | $799K | $4.8M | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #389 | PM monthly #101 | PM monthly #46 | PM monthly #31 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 74% (20 of 27 open) | 70% (107 of 152 open) | no open consensus position | 52% (14 of 27 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 37% of 408 at avg 31¢, ROI +1% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 59% (won 10% of 242) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 15% (won 58% of 60) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 41% (won 99% of 405) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 13% (won 75% of 53) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 49% (won 99% of 485) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 13% (won 100% of 53) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 5% (won 100% of 46) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | boyau | ndb1 | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $68K | No $29K | — | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $5.7K | No $42K | — | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $15K | No $679 | — | — |