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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| button-clicker | RN1 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 61% (158–102, n=260) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) |
| Consensus PnL | $19K | $13.4M | $4.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #895 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (2 of 4 open) | 60% (6 of 10 open) | no open consensus position | 85% (52 of 61 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Entertainment −4 pts, n=10 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 69% of 253 at avg 58¢, ROI +12% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 6% (won 31% of 16) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 53% of 60) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 46% (won 68% of 117) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 97% of 60) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | button-clicker | RN1 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $3.8K | — | Commanders $188K |
| Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $16K | — | — | Yes $13K |
| Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $403 | — | — | Yes $273 |