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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| caishenbaoyoufadacai888 | joseph00677 | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (1–1, n=2) | no settled market | 42% (113–156, n=269) | 69% (307–141, n=448) |
| Consensus PnL | -$90 | — | $256K | -$44K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #516 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #30 | PM monthly #34 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 53% (9 of 17 open) | 33% (2 of 6 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 62% of 13 at avg 59¢, ROI +33% | 100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 8% (won 0% of 1) | 6% (won 100% of 9) | 1% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 8% (won 0% of 1) | 42% (won 100% of 63) | 26% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 69% (won 67% of 9) | 40% (won 100% of 61) | 40% (won 100% of 95) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 15% (won 100% of 2) | 12% (won 100% of 18) | 33% (won 100% of 80) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | caishenbaoyoufadacai888 | joseph00677 | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hersonissos 3: Adrian Andreev vs Benjamin Pietri opposite sides · consensus Adrian Andreev | — | — | Benjamin Pietri $1 | Adrian Andreev $35 |
| Orleans: Adrien Gobat vs Daniel Altmaier same side · consensus Daniel Altmaier | — | — | Adrien Gobat $6.4K | Adrien Gobat $92 |
| Lima: Daniel Rincon vs Santiago De La Fuente same side · consensus Daniel Rincon | — | — | Santiago De La Fuente $299 | Santiago De La Fuente $32 |