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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| carlos484 | CORGII | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (24–14, n=38) | 61% (393–247, n=640) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) |
| Consensus PnL | $51K | $4.5M | $3.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #447 | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (6 of 6 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 85% (53 of 62 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 70% of 37 at avg 66¢, ROI +15% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 14% (won 0% of 5) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 0% | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 11% (won 0% of 4) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 67% of 6) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 59% (won 100% of 22) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | carlos484 | CORGII | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $26K | — | — | No $32K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $20K | — | — | Yes $270K |