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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| cigarettes | joseph00677 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (10094–10679, n=20773) | 50% (10–10, n=20) | 47% (13860–15341, n=29201) |
| Consensus PnL | $630K | $5.3M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #38 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (285 of 422 open) | no open consensus position | 83% (5 of 6 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Esports −5 pts, n=274 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 42% of 7704 at avg 43¢, ROI −3% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 49% (won 5% of 3769) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 33% of 745) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 64% of 707) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 32% (won 95% of 2483) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | cigarettes | joseph00677 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Paris Masters: Luciano Darderi vs Rinky Hijikata same side · consensus Rinky Hijikata | Rinky Hijikata $197 | — | Rinky Hijikata $34K |