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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| classified | gmpm2 | juice-fruit | petanimal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 100% (1–0, n=1) | 100% (1–0, n=1) | 100% (1–0, n=1) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $1.1K | $261K | $152K | $5 |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #336 | PM monthly #23 | PM monthly #28 | was PM monthly #283 |
| Sides with the consensus | 43% (3 of 7 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | Elections −2 pts, n=101 | NBA −2 pts, n=33 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 51% of 334 at avg 49¢, ROI −2% | 57% of 337 at avg 56¢, ROI +3% | 100% of 48 at avg 59¢, ROI +40% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 46% (won 4% of 152) | 6% (won 32% of 19) | 2% (won 100% of 1) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 47% of 15) | 29% (won 48% of 97) | 25% (won 100% of 12) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 7% (won 78% of 23) | 45% (won 55% of 150) | 44% (won 100% of 21) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 98% of 144) | 21% (won 80% of 71) | 29% (won 100% of 14) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | classified | gmpm2 | juice-fruit | petanimal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by December 31? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $120 | — | — | Yes $2.0K |