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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
claudionetotraderndb1primmUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)57% (1092–818, n=1910)63% (989–572, n=1561)50% (1105–1117, n=2222)50% (20851–20547, n=41398)
Consensus PnL$85K$3.2M$3.6M$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #751PM monthly #104PM monthly #46PM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus67% (2 of 3 open)69% (61 of 88 open)100% (4 of 4 open)70% (31 of 44 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won63% of 1491 at avg 58¢, ROI +3%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 12% of 428)13% (won 15% of 168)5% (won 94% of 51)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢10% (won 37% of 155)20% (won 39% of 256)41% (won 99% of 412)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 75% of 214)24% (won 58% of 314)50% (won 99% of 503)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up47% (won 97% of 694)43% (won 93% of 550)5% (won 100% of 47)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketclaudionetotraderndb1primmUpTheBlues
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
Dplus KIA $322Dplus KIA $226——