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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
clazzy1RN100gringo00beachboy4
Record (consensus markets)66% (473–249, n=722)47% (13860–15341, n=29201)75% (6–2, n=8)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL$19K$13.4M$3.5M$5.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #861PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #19was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus76% (13 of 17 open)71% (5 of 7 open)no open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicEntertainment −10 pts, n=17——NBA −6 pts, n=93
Settled positions, side won68% of 590 at avg 63¢, ROI +6%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 16% of 64)10% (won 57% of 2537)0%3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢15% (won 47% of 89)22% (won 94% of 5518)0%30% (won 57% of 63)
Entries 50–70¢31% (won 66% of 184)36% (won 99% of 8928)100% (won 86% of 7)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up43% (won 91% of 253)32% (won 100% of 7821)0%14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.