← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| cowcat | RN1 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (1124–869, n=1993) | 47% (13858–15341, n=29199) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | $74K | $13.4M | $4.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #455 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 45% (32 of 71 open) | 67% (2 of 3 open) | no open consensus position | 91% (148 of 163 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 84% of 1651 at avg 70¢, ROI +8% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 26% of 273) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 0% | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 74% of 117) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 10% (won 91% of 169) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 66% (won 99% of 1092) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | cowcat | RN1 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $2.8K | — | — | Yes $172K |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.9K | — | — | Yes $6.8K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | No $2.6K | — | — | No $202K |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $5.5K | — | — | No $114K |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $780 | — | — | Yes $85K |