← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| cryingbabydicer87 | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 51% (10297–10047, n=20344) | 55% (13333–10716, n=24049) | 43% (10–13, n=23) | 63% (1100–635, n=1735) |
| Consensus PnL | $34K | $1.4M | $3.2M | $4.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #699 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #110 |
| Sides with the consensus | 84% (118 of 140 open) | 65% (106 of 164 open) | no open consensus position | 71% (67 of 95 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
|
|
|
| Weakest topic | Crypto −2 pts, n=4195 | NFL −24 pts, n=12 | — | NFL −7 pts, n=158 |
| Settled positions, side won | 51% of 4583 at avg 53¢, ROI 0% | 56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 41% (won 8% of 1884) | 30% (won 9% of 919) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 14% of 196) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 39% of 591) | 15% (won 37% of 455) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 18% (won 40% of 283) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 8% (won 71% of 373) | 14% (won 63% of 439) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 23% (won 58% of 348) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 38% (won 97% of 1735) | 42% (won 94% of 1302) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 46% (won 94% of 710) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
9 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.