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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| dips. | RN1 | BreakTheBank | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 44% (4920–6236, n=11156) | 47% (13870–15347, n=29217) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 61% (495–321, n=816) |
| Consensus PnL | $28K | $14.8M | $11.0M | -$352K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #290 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #51 |
| Sides with the consensus | 22% (8 of 37 open) | 72% (13 of 18 open) | 86% (134 of 156 open) | 75% (6 of 8 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | Soccer −1 pts, n=4458 | — | — | Soccer ±0 pts, n=115 |
| Settled positions, side won | 41% of 7533 at avg 41¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 48% (won 4% of 3651) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 15% (won 29% of 125) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 34% of 734) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 34% (won 58% of 283) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 12% (won 64% of 912) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 43% (won 69% of 354) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 93% of 2236) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 7% (won 80% of 60) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | dips. | RN1 | BreakTheBank | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | No $351 | — | No $202K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $1.5K | — | Yes $85K | — |