← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| dips. | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 44% (4920–6236, n=11156) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 46% (131–154, n=285) |
| Consensus PnL | $28K | $5.8M | $11.0M | -$6.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #290 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #715 |
| Sides with the consensus | 22% (8 of 36 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 86% (134 of 156 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Soccer −1 pts, n=4458 | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — | College Basketball −12 pts, n=174 |
| Settled positions, side won | 41% of 7533 at avg 41¢, ROI 0% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 48% (won 4% of 3651) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 0% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 34% of 734) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 42% (won 46% of 565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 12% (won 64% of 912) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 57% (won 51% of 766) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 93% of 2236) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 0% (won 100% of 4) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | dips. | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | No $351 | — | No $202K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $1.5K | — | Yes $85K | — |