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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
dromedaryyRN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)34% (27–53, n=80)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)56% (101–79, n=180)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$390K$13.4M$3.5M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #53PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #373PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus54% (28 of 52 open)71% (15 of 21 open)no open consensus position74% (73 of 98 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won88% of 33 at avg 47¢, ROI +36%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢52% (won 76% of 17)10% (won 56% of 2534)7% (won 75% of 8)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 100% of 2)22% (won 94% of 5497)26% (won 93% of 29)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢0%36% (won 99% of 8897)42% (won 96% of 47)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up42% (won 100% of 14)31% (won 100% of 7736)24% (won 96% of 27)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketdromedaryyRN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBank
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $21K——Yes $38K
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $3.3K——No $24K