← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| dromedaryy | RN1 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 34% (27–53, n=80) | 48% (12984–14343, n=27327) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) |
| Consensus PnL | $382K | $13.4M | $5.8M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #53 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 52% (28 of 54 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 85% (53 of 62 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 88% of 33 at avg 47¢, ROI +36% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 52% (won 76% of 17) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 100% of 2) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 42% (won 100% of 14) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | dromedaryy | RN1 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $79 | — | — | No $292K |