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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
drop126sainttroplayBreakTheBankprimm
Record (consensus markets)no settled market71% (10–4, n=14)45% (526–640, n=1166)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL-$1.2K$4.4M$10.6M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #936was PM monthly #11PM monthly #1PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)no open consensus position72% (79 of 109 open)62% (26 of 42 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢—0%10% (won 85% of 53)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢—50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 98% of 192)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢—50% (won 100% of 5)35% (won 99% of 187)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up—0%20% (won 100% of 107)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketdrop126sainttroplayBreakTheBankprimm
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Bills $51KRavens $696
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
——Raiders $24KJets $284
Spread: Bills (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Bills $2.1KRavens $376
Ravens vs. Bills
same side · consensus Bills
——Bills $378KBills $395
Raiders vs. Jets
same side · consensus Raiders
——Raiders $171KRaiders $5.8K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
——Cardinals $3.0KCardinals $1.1K