← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| dv-pm | RN1 | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (3200–3422, n=6622) | 47% (13871–15347, n=29218) | 61% (495–321, n=816) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $197K | $14.8M | -$352K | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #51 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 42% (8 of 19 open) | 56% (27 of 48 open) | 72% (13 of 18 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Tennis −1 pts, n=1046 | — | Soccer ±0 pts, n=115 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 47% of 5487 at avg 47¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 22% (won 17% of 1196) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 15% (won 29% of 125) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 32% (won 40% of 1739) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 34% (won 58% of 283) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 30% (won 59% of 1659) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 43% (won 69% of 354) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 16% (won 80% of 893) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 7% (won 80% of 60) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | dv-pm | RN1 | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $129 | Over $2.6K | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | Grizzlies $314 | Pelicans $129 | — | — |
| Spread: 76ers (-11.5) same side · consensus 76ers | 76ers $36 | 76ers $228 | — | — |