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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| dzsibenaja | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 87% (138–20, n=158) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $131K | $10.6M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 94% (16 of 17 open) | 73% (73 of 100 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 89% of 196 at avg 85¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 0% of 10) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 2% (won 0% of 4) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 7% (won 92% of 13) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 86% (won 96% of 169) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | dzsibenaja | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $18K | No $184K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | Yes $38K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | No $5.7K | Yes $1.1K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.1K | Yes $169K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $2.1K | No $590 | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $604 | No $747 | — |