Resolution Proposed
A resolution has been proposed and is in the challenge window. Awaiting UMA oracle settlement.
Monastir: Toufik Sahtali vs Nikolai Barsukov
6 of 20 top Polymarket traders hold Nikolai Barsukov (30%) · Nikolai Barsukov at 100¢ · $60K held · awaiting resolution
⏳
Pending
20
Nikolai Barsukov 30%
1 arb excluded
$60.4K
$5.1K
Smart Money Signal
6 of 20 top traders (30%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed14 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RO robustmst | Nikolai Barsukovavg 47.1¢ | $33.7K | $44.7K | +$13.1K | 46% 126-145 (271) |
OM omnibus-076daa | Nikolai Barsukovavg 58.3¢ | $2.0K | $3.3K | +$1.4K | 50% 24147-24262 (48409) |
38 38791873984189 | Nikolai Barsukovavg 77.7¢ | $7.8K | $3.0K | -$302.47 | 48% 72263-78012 (150275) |
SL SlickRick123CTR | Toufik Sahtaliavg 58¢ | $4.4K | $2.8K | $-1.6K | 47% 6400-7112 (13512) |
LI LightParadoxCTR | Toufik Sahtaliavg 50.1¢ | $3.1K | $2.4K | -$705.94 | 45% 2751-3326 (6077) |
VE VenusianCTR | Toufik Sahtaliavg 42¢ | $1.3K | $1.2K | -$122.45 | 45% 2826-3461 (6287) |
MA MadridTimeCTR | Toufik Sahtaliavg 62.4¢ | $1.3K | $750.64 | -$499.41 | 45% 2764-3372 (6136) |
TH thirdt1meARB<$100 | Toufik Sahtaliavg 55.8¢ | $4.4K | $558.75 | $-1.8K | 58% 237-173 (410) |
| └ Nikolai Barsukov leg | Nikolai Barsukovavg 77.6¢ | $376.79 | $303.38 | -$45.85 | |
| └ Toufik Sahtali leg | Toufik Sahtaliavg 55.8¢ | $380.29 | $255.37 | $-1.8K | |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846 | Nikolai Barsukovavg 64¢ | $327.06 | $428.84 | +$101.78 | 56% 39945-31555 (71500) |
FL Flaznorp | Nikolai Barsukovavg 78.9¢ | $269.87 | $341.88 | +$72 | 52% 49669-46633 (96302) |
LR lryyyCTR | Toufik Sahtaliavg 58.7¢ | $322.09 | $205.88 | -$116.22 | 48% 40329-43288 (83617) |
GA GaditimaCTR | Toufik Sahtaliavg 56¢ | $280 | $187.5 | -$92.5 | 47% 8799-9989 (18788) |
EU EulhunterCTR | Toufik Sahtaliavg 51.8¢ | $226.1 | $163.64 | -$62.46 | 53% 6836-5985 (12821) |
 machinelearnedCTR | Toufik Sahtaliavg 53.1¢ | $170.71 | $125.62 | -$45.08 | 54% 10552-8960 (19512) |
EF efntrickCTR<$100 | Toufik Sahtaliavg 48.6¢ | $92.87 | $69.79 | -$23.08 | 49% 3741-3962 (7703) |
LI LimousinCTR | Toufik Sahtaliavg 47.4¢ | $577.07 | $64.6 | -$512.47 | 46% 2861-3344 (6205) |
 0xheavy888CTR<$100 | Toufik Sahtaliavg 55¢ | $28.25 | $19.26 | -$8.99 | 56% 9043-7128 (16171) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR | Toufik Sahtaliavg 30.8¢ | $4.2K | $6.85 | $-4.2K | 47% 2293-2595 (4888) |
AM ameisgoat11<$100 | Nikolai Barsukovavg 47¢ | $3 | $3.18 | +$0.18 | 53% 14841-13046 (27887) |
TH thestingsnakeCTR | Toufik Sahtaliavg 37.4¢ | $1.2K | $1.41 | $-1.2K | 60% 4654-3141 (7795) |
0X 0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0CTR<$100 | Toufik Sahtaliavg 56.6¢ | $93.45 | $0.08 | -$93.37 | 52% 6205-5726 (11931) |
Invested
$33,741.32
Value
$44.7K
PnL
+$13.1K
Record
46%
126-145 (271)
Invested
$1,954.83
Value
$3.3K
PnL
+$1.4K
Record
50%
24147-24262 (48409)
Invested
$7,773.67
Value
$3.0K
PnL
-$302.47
Record
48%
72263-78012 (150275)
Invested
$4,398.09
Value
$2.8K
PnL
$-1.6K
Record
47%
6400-7112 (13512)
Invested
$3,129.13
Value
$2.4K
PnL
-$705.94
Record
45%
2751-3326 (6077)
Invested
$1,274.41
Value
$1.2K
PnL
-$122.45
Record
45%
2826-3461 (6287)
Invested
$1,250.05
Value
$750.64
PnL
-$499.41
Record
45%
2764-3372 (6136)
Invested
$4,421.26
Value
$558.75
PnL
$-1.8K
Record
58%
237-173 (410)
Both legs:
Invested
$327.06
Value
$428.84
PnL
+$101.78
Record
56%
39945-31555 (71500)
Invested
$269.87
Value
$341.88
PnL
+$72
Record
52%
49669-46633 (96302)
Invested
$322.09
Value
$205.88
PnL
-$116.22
Record
48%
40329-43288 (83617)
Invested
$280
Value
$187.5
PnL
-$92.5
Record
47%
8799-9989 (18788)
Invested
$226.1
Value
$163.64
PnL
-$62.46
Record
53%
6836-5985 (12821)
machinelearnedCTRInvested
$170.71
Value
$125.62
PnL
-$45.08
Record
54%
10552-8960 (19512)
Invested
$92.87
Value
$69.79
PnL
-$23.08
Record
49%
3741-3962 (7703)
Invested
$577.07
Value
$64.6
PnL
-$512.47
Record
46%
2861-3344 (6205)
0xheavy888CTR<$100Invested
$28.25
Value
$19.26
PnL
-$8.99
Record
56%
9043-7128 (16171)
Invested
$4,214.92
Value
$6.85
PnL
$-4.2K
Record
47%
2293-2595 (4888)
Invested
$3
Value
$3.18
PnL
+$0.18
Record
53%
14841-13046 (27887)
Invested
$1,235.18
Value
$1.41
PnL
$-1.2K
Record
60%
4654-3141 (7795)
Invested
$93.45
Value
$0.08
PnL
-$93.37
Record
52%
6205-5726 (11931)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
robustmst
Nikolai Barsukov — $44.7K
omnibus-076daa
Nikolai Barsukov — $3.3K
38791873984189
Nikolai Barsukov — $3.0K
SlickRick123
CTRToufik Sahtali — $2.8K
LightParadox
CTRToufik Sahtali — $2.4K
Venusian
CTRToufik Sahtali — $1.2K
MadridTime
CTRToufik Sahtali — $750.64
thirdt1me
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846
Nikolai Barsukov — $428.84
Flaznorp
Nikolai Barsukov — $341.88