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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
efntrickndb1primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)47% (278–308, n=586)63% (993–578, n=1571)50% (1144–1155, n=2299)47% (14382–15903, n=30285)
Consensus PnL$13K$4.8M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #854PM monthly #98PM monthly #47PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus20% (1 of 5 open)72% (59 of 82 open)75% (3 of 4 open)55% (48 of 87 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—NFL −8 pts, n=147——
Settled positions, side won99% of 195 at avg 78¢, ROI +29%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 50% of 2)13% (won 14% of 187)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢7% (won 100% of 14)19% (won 39% of 269)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢21% (won 100% of 41)23% (won 57% of 328)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up71% (won 100% of 138)44% (won 94% of 622)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketefntrickndb1primmRN1
Taranto: Felix Gill vs Matteo Martineau
opposite sides · consensus Matteo Martineau
Felix Gill $10——Matteo Martineau $3.6K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Damir Dzumhur vs Inaki Montes
opposite sides · consensus Inaki Montes
Damir Dzumhur $19——Inaki Montes $169
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $31K—Under $6.7K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Mika Brunold vs Borna Gojo
same side · consensus Borna Gojo
Borna Gojo $8——Borna Gojo $22K