Resolution Proposed
A resolution has been proposed and is in the challenge window. Awaiting UMA oracle settlement.
Taranto: Felix Gill vs Matteo Martineau
3 of 12 top Polymarket traders hold Matteo Martineau (25%) · Matteo Martineau at 44¢ · $7K held · awaiting resolution
⏳
Pending
12
Matteo Martineau 25%
2 arb excluded
$6.6K
$21.73
Smart Money Signal
3 of 12 top traders (25%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 VeryLucky888ARB<$100 | Matteo Martineauavg 42.5¢ | $3.1K | $3.2K | +$109.02 | 58% 47503-34297 (81800) |
| └ Matteo Martineau leg | Matteo Martineauavg 42.5¢ | $2.1K | $2.2K | +$75 | |
| └ Felix Gill leg | Felix Gillavg 55.2¢ | $968.86 | $1.0K | +$34.02 | |
 RN1CTR | Matteo Martineauavg 43¢ | $2.2K | $2.3K | +$51.92 | 53% 62321-54560 (116881) |
 nigiri99CTR | Matteo Martineauavg 46.2¢ | $682 | $649 | -$33 | 46% 8770-10463 (19233) |
GC GC-P | Felix Gillavg 56¢ | $472.58 | $248.11 | -$16.54 | 64% 10179-5769 (15948) |
1L 1lovejumpARB<$100 | Matteo Martineauavg 50¢ | $120.79 | $116.46 | -$3.32 | 53% 827-732 (1559) |
| └ Matteo Martineau leg | Matteo Martineauavg 50¢ | $104.56 | $92.01 | -$12.33 | |
| └ Felix Gill leg | Felix Gillavg 36¢ | $15.44 | $24.45 | +$9.01 | |
0X 0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0<$100 | Felix Gillavg 37.9¢ | $34.95 | $39.64 | +$4.69 | 64% 5376-2995 (8371) |
LI LightParadox<$100 | Felix Gillavg 33.1¢ | $19.12 | $32.93 | +$13.82 | 49% 1800-1900 (3700) |
PA Pan9X<$100 | Felix Gillavg 56¢ | $26.32 | $26.79 | +$0.47 | 54% 10453-8773 (19226) |
 rayvanmechelen<$100 | Felix Gillavg 55¢ | $10 | $10.36 | +$0.09 | 53% 2699-2381 (5080) |
EF efntrick<$100 | Felix Gillavg 56¢ | $9.8 | $10.1 | +$0.2 | 48% 3686-3932 (7618) |
EU Eulhunter<$100 | Felix Gillavg 38¢ | $3.8 | $5.7 | +$1.9 | 54% 6325-5389 (11714) |
OM omnibus-076daa<$100 | Felix Gillavg 57.2¢ | $5.32 | $5.3 | -$0.02 | 50% 21550-21844 (43394) |
BI BillBenter2026CTR<$100 | Matteo Martineauavg 71¢ | $4.97 | $3.08 | -$1.89 | 57% 19424-14373 (33797) |
AM ameisgoat11<$100 | Felix Gillavg 55¢ | $2.75 | $2.85 | +$0.1 | 52% 9018-8169 (17187) |
VeryLucky888ARB<$100Invested
$3,145.08
Value
$3.2K
PnL
+$109.02
Record
58%
47503-34297 (81800)
Both legs:
RN1CTRInvested
$2,232.56
Value
$2.3K
PnL
+$51.92
Record
53%
62321-54560 (116881)
nigiri99CTRInvested
$682
Value
$649
PnL
-$33
Record
46%
8770-10463 (19233)
Invested
$472.58
Value
$248.11
PnL
-$16.54
Record
64%
10179-5769 (15948)
Invested
$120.79
Value
$116.46
PnL
-$3.32
Record
53%
827-732 (1559)
Both legs:
Invested
$34.95
Value
$39.64
PnL
+$4.69
Record
64%
5376-2995 (8371)
Invested
$19.12
Value
$32.93
PnL
+$13.82
Record
49%
1800-1900 (3700)
Invested
$26.32
Value
$26.79
PnL
+$0.47
Record
54%
10453-8773 (19226)
rayvanmechelen<$100Invested
$10
Value
$10.36
PnL
+$0.09
Record
53%
2699-2381 (5080)
Invested
$9.8
Value
$10.1
PnL
+$0.2
Record
48%
3686-3932 (7618)
Invested
$3.8
Value
$5.7
PnL
+$1.9
Record
54%
6325-5389 (11714)
Invested
$5.32
Value
$5.3
PnL
-$0.02
Record
50%
21550-21844 (43394)
Invested
$4.97
Value
$3.08
PnL
-$1.89
Record
57%
19424-14373 (33797)
Invested
$2.75
Value
$2.85
PnL
+$0.1
Record
52%
9018-8169 (17187)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
VeryLucky888
ARBArbitrage — excluded
RN1
CTRMatteo Martineau — $2.3K
nigiri99
CTRMatteo Martineau — $649
GC-P
Felix Gill — $248.11
1lovejump
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0
Felix Gill — $39.64
LightParadox
Felix Gill — $32.93
Pan9X
Felix Gill — $26.79
rayvanmechelen
Felix Gill — $10.36
efntrick
Felix Gill — $10.1