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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
esports095BreakTheBankCORGII0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Record (consensus markets)61% (544–345, n=889)45% (526–640, n=1166)62% (393–245, n=638)56% (101–79, n=180)
Consensus PnL$475K$10.6M$4.5M$3.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #553PM monthly #1PM monthly #68was PM monthly #373
Sides with the consensus92% (11 of 12 open)74% (73 of 99 open)25% (1 of 4 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topicSoccer −9 pts, n=56———
Settled positions, side won61% of 876 at avg 57¢, ROI +5%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 14% of 145)10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 92% of 36)7% (won 75% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 44% of 217)36% (won 98% of 192)56% (won 99% of 223)26% (won 93% of 29)
Entries 50–70¢26% (won 65% of 229)35% (won 99% of 187)33% (won 100% of 133)42% (won 96% of 47)
Entries 70¢ and up33% (won 93% of 285)20% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)24% (won 96% of 27)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.