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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ferdinand2 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (649–657, n=1306) | 47% (13868–15346, n=29214) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 61% (395–248, n=643) |
| Consensus PnL | $63K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #491 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 47% (35 of 75 open) | 57% (4 of 7 open) | 90% (149 of 165 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Soccer −3 pts, n=419 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 51% of 554 at avg 52¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 24% (won 5% of 131) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 39% of 132) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 64% of 130) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 29% (won 88% of 161) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ferdinand2 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CD Leganés win on 2026-11-02? same side · consensus No | No $575 | No $11K | — | — |
| Chonburi FC vs. BG Pathum United: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $3 | Under $194 | — | — |