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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ferdinand2 | RN1 | surfandturf | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (647–656, n=1303) | 47% (13860–15343, n=29203) | 52% (273–252, n=525) | 62% (395–247, n=642) |
| Consensus PnL | $63K | $13.4M | $4.1M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #491 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #326 | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (42 of 74 open) | 67% (4 of 6 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Soccer −3 pts, n=419 | — | NFL −11 pts, n=58 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 51% of 554 at avg 52¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 24% (won 5% of 131) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 20% (won 12% of 109) | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 39% of 132) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 21% (won 46% of 114) | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 64% of 130) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 33% (won 60% of 176) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 29% (won 88% of 161) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 26% (won 82% of 137) | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ferdinand2 | RN1 | surfandturf | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz same side · consensus Hubert Hurkacz | Lorenzo Musetti $4 | Lorenzo Musetti $38K | — | — |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana same side · consensus Mary Stoiana | Mary Stoiana $19 | Mary Stoiana $21K | — | — |