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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ferdinand2 | beachboy4 | pleaseplease123 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (652–657, n=1309) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 49% (346–353, n=699) | 47% (13870–15347, n=29217) |
| Consensus PnL | -$42K | $5.8M | -$857K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #491 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #92 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 55% (30 of 55 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 57% (12 of 21 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Soccer −3 pts, n=419 | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | MLB −1 pts, n=694 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 51% of 554 at avg 52¢, ROI +3% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 49% of 694 at avg 51¢, ROI −1% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 24% (won 5% of 131) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 39% of 132) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 38% (won 43% of 266) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 64% of 130) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 61% (won 54% of 426) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 29% (won 88% of 161) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 0% | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ferdinand2 | beachboy4 | pleaseplease123 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pakhtakor vs. Al Nassr Club: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $56 | — | — | Under $799 |
| Will CD Leganés win on 2026-11-02? same side · consensus No | No $575 | — | — | No $11K |
| Pakhtakor vs. Al Nassr Club: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $48 | — | — | Under $3.9K |
| Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus Yes | No $6 | — | — | No $341 |
| CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $4 | — | — | Under $147 |
| Spread: Al Nassr Club (-2.5) same side · consensus Pakhtakor | Pakhtakor $3 | — | — | Pakhtakor $69 |