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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ferdinand2 | beachboy4 | surfandturf | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (647–656, n=1303) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 52% (273–252, n=525) | 47% (13860–15343, n=29203) |
| Consensus PnL | $63K | $5.8M | $4.1M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #491 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #326 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 58% (43 of 74 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 83% (5 of 6 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Soccer −3 pts, n=419 | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | NFL −11 pts, n=58 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 51% of 554 at avg 52¢, ROI +3% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 24% (won 5% of 131) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 20% (won 12% of 109) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 39% of 132) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 21% (won 46% of 114) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 64% of 130) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 33% (won 60% of 176) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 29% (won 88% of 161) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 26% (won 82% of 137) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ferdinand2 | beachboy4 | surfandturf | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz same side · consensus Lorenzo Musetti | Lorenzo Musetti $4 | — | — | Lorenzo Musetti $46K |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana same side · consensus Mary Stoiana | Mary Stoiana $19 | — | — | Mary Stoiana $21K |