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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026Flaznorpgollazajoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)35% (3649–6670, n=10319)52% (6520–6024, n=12544)no settled market45% (10–12, n=22)
Consensus PnL$2.9M$3.5M—$5.3M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #870PM monthly #23—PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensus74% (28 of 38 open)72% (322 of 448 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%—59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 465)—12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 255)—6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢—16% (won 62% of 260)—65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up—39% (won 94% of 637)—18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

14 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026Flaznorpgollazajoseph00677
Utah vs. Canadiens
opposite sides · consensus Canadiens
Canadiens $27KUtah $211——
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $17KOver $4.7K——
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $324Under $17K——
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $4.1KUnder $8.2K——
Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $2.3KUnder $2.5K——
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Olympique de Marseille
Bayer 04 Leverkusen $495Olympique de Marseille $3.1K——
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg
opposite sides · consensus Max Hans Rehberg
Max Hans Rehberg $2.3KDaniel Milavsky $473——
RC Celta de Vigo vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $150Under $2.4K——
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.2KOver $230——
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus KKS Lech Poznań
Sport Lisboa e Benfica $225KKS Lech Poznań $1.2K——
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Taylor Fritz
same side · consensus Taylor Fritz
Taylor Fritz $107KTaylor Fritz $12K——
Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip Misolic
same side · consensus Filip Misolic
Filip Misolic $17KFilip Misolic $3.3K——
Cali: Julia Riera vs Renata Zarazua
same side · consensus Julia Riera
Julia Riera $15KJulia Riera $5.7K——
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)
same side · consensus Ferencvárosi TC
Ferencvárosi TC $9.6KFerencvárosi TC $7.3K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.3KUnder $13K——
Cali: Carole Monnet vs Leyre Romero Gormaz
same side · consensus Carole Monnet
Carole Monnet $11KCarole Monnet $2.2K——
Crystal Palace FC vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $3.0KUnder $6.5K——
Villa Maria: Ignacio Monzon vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri
same side · consensus Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Genaro Alberto Olivieri $3.2KGenaro Alberto Olivieri $407——
Aarhus GF vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $710Under $1.7K——
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $244Under $2.1K——
Lillestrøm SK vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $760Under $479——
Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)
same side · consensus GNK Dinamo Zagreb
GNK Dinamo Zagreb $139GNK Dinamo Zagreb $514——
Lincoln Red Imps FC vs. HNK Hajduk Split: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $251Under $325——
Nepal Premier League: Kathmandu Gurkhas vs Biratnagar Kings
same side · consensus Kathmandu Gurkhas
Kathmandu Gurkhas $39Kathmandu Gurkhas $12——