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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026Flaznorpjoseph00677Vale54holi
Record (consensus markets)35% (3645–6670, n=10315)52% (6492–5997, n=12489)45% (10–12, n=22)27% (295–813, n=1108)
Consensus PnL$3.0M$3.3M$5.3M$34K
Tracked asPM monthly #699PM monthly #24PM monthly #2PM monthly #120
Sides with the consensus78% (14 of 18 open)71% (175 of 247 open)no open consensus position71% (5 of 7 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—Elections −1 pts, n=182
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%41% of 492 at avg 42¢, ROI +13%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)52% (won 3% of 256)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)6% (won 32% of 28)
Entries 50–70¢—17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)7% (won 64% of 36)
Entries 70¢ and up—38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)35% (won 95% of 172)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026Flaznorpjoseph00677Vale54holi
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Tereza Valentova vs Alexandra Eala
opposite sides · consensus Alexandra Eala
Tereza Valentova $2.9KAlexandra Eala $1.7K——
Taranto: Jay Clarke vs Gianluca Cadenasso
opposite sides · consensus Jay Clarke
Gianluca Cadenasso $2Jay Clarke $2.9K——
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $154Yes $2.6K——
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Bayer 04 Leverkusen $495Olympique de Marseille $478——
Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Thunder vs Perth Scorchers
opposite sides · consensus Perth Scorchers
Sydney Thunder $107Perth Scorchers $174——
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Tommy Paul
Tommy Paul $53KTommy Paul $11K——
Rolex Paris Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Carlos Alcaraz
same side · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz $32KCarlos Alcaraz $16K——
Luanda: Anna Blinkova vs Zongyu Li
same side · consensus Anna Blinkova
Anna Blinkova $36KAnna Blinkova $7.6K——
Chennai Open: Moyuka Uchijima vs Magda Linette
same side · consensus Magda Linette
Magda Linette $18KMagda Linette $5.0K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.6KUnder $14K——
Taipei: Carl Overbeck vs Kasidit Samrej
same side · consensus Kasidit Samrej
Kasidit Samrej $179Kasidit Samrej $2.9K——
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Mary Stoiana
same side · consensus Sorana Cirstea
Sorana Cirstea $646Sorana Cirstea $271——
Nepal Premier League: Lumbini Lions vs Janakpur Bolts
same side · consensus Lumbini Lions
Lumbini Lions $132Lumbini Lions $54——
ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: Bangladesh Under-19s vs Afghanistan Under-19s
same side · consensus Afghanistan Under-19s
Afghanistan Under-19s $168Afghanistan Under-19s $3——