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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026Flaznorpndb1Smallcoins
Record (consensus markets)43% (11779–15353, n=27132)55% (13333–10716, n=24049)63% (1100–635, n=1735)54% (1187–1006, n=2193)
Consensus PnL-$9.5M$1.4M$4.6M$120K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #14PM monthly #110PM monthly #821
Sides with the consensus56% (5 of 9 open)63% (99 of 157 open)71% (67 of 94 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +13 pts n=1259, ROI +11%
Weakest topic—NFL −24 pts, n=12NFL −7 pts, n=158—
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%82% of 1267 at avg 69¢, ROI +11%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)30% (won 9% of 919)13% (won 14% of 196)14% (won 39% of 181)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)15% (won 37% of 455)18% (won 40% of 283)9% (won 55% of 118)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)14% (won 63% of 439)23% (won 58% of 348)12% (won 71% of 157)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)42% (won 94% of 1302)46% (won 94% of 710)64% (won 98% of 811)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026Flaznorpndb1Smallcoins
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris
Liam Broady $2.0KBilly Harris $1.7K——
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $146Yes $2.8K——
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
Cavaliers $1.5KHornets $169——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $12K——
Grizzlies vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $5.8KOver $88——