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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ferrariChampions2026 | Flaznorp | ndb1 | TMingchan | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 43% (11779–15353, n=27132) | 55% (13333–10716, n=24049) | 63% (1100–635, n=1735) | 56% (35–28, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | -$9.5M | $1.4M | $4.6M | $38K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #110 | PM monthly #655 |
| Sides with the consensus | 56% (5 of 9 open) | 63% (100 of 158 open) | 71% (67 of 94 open) | no open consensus position |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −24 pts, n=12 | NFL −7 pts, n=158 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22% | 66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2% | 100% of 28 at avg 50¢, ROI +50% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 30% (won 9% of 919) | 13% (won 14% of 196) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 15% (won 37% of 455) | 18% (won 40% of 283) | 46% (won 100% of 13) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 14% (won 63% of 439) | 23% (won 58% of 348) | 54% (won 100% of 15) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 42% (won 94% of 1302) | 46% (won 94% of 710) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ferrariChampions2026 | Flaznorp | ndb1 | TMingchan |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris | Liam Broady $2.0K | Billy Harris $1.7K | — | — |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | No $146 | Yes $2.8K | — | — |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Hornets | Cavaliers $1.5K | Hornets $169 | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.2K | Under $12K | — | — |
| Grizzlies vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $5.8K | Over $88 | — | — |