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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026joseph00677MadridTimeprimm
Record (consensus markets)35% (3649–6671, n=10320)45% (10–12, n=22)49% (955–1002, n=1957)50% (1106–1118, n=2224)
Consensus PnL$3.0M$5.3M$20K$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #870PM monthly #2PM monthly #563PM monthly #46
Sides with the consensus70% (30 of 43 open)no open consensus position50% (124 of 246 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +48 pts n=71, ROI +49%
  • Soccer +23 pts n=369, ROI +27%
  • Tennis +21 pts n=32, ROI +21%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 501 at avg 72¢, ROI +30%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢—12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 100% of 26)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢—6% (won 0% of 1)17% (won 100% of 85)41% (won 99% of 412)
Entries 50–70¢—65% (won 73% of 11)19% (won 100% of 94)50% (won 99% of 503)
Entries 70¢ and up—18% (won 67% of 3)59% (won 100% of 296)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026joseph00677MadridTimeprimm
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Bayer 04 Leverkusen $33K—Olympique de Marseille $354—
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus KKS Lech Poznań
Sport Lisboa e Benfica $16K—KKS Lech Poznań $2.5K—
Cali: Carole Monnet vs Leyre Romero Gormaz
opposite sides · consensus Carole Monnet
Carole Monnet $11K—Leyre Romero Gormaz $455—
Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus AC Sparta Praha
AC Sparta Praha $10K—AFC Bournemouth $85—
Spread: James Madison (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus James Madison
James Madison $8.4K—Southern Miss $10—
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg
opposite sides · consensus Max Hans Rehberg
Max Hans Rehberg $3.8K—Daniel Milavsky $2.2K—
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $2.4K—Under $1.3K—
Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.3K—Under $1.3K—
Spread: HNK Hajduk Split (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lincoln Red Imps FC
Lincoln Red Imps FC $447—HNK Hajduk Split $11—
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Sport Lisboa e Benfica $229—KKS Lech Poznań $171—
Lincoln Red Imps FC vs. HNK Hajduk Split: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $311—Over $11—
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Taylor Fritz
same side · consensus Taylor Fritz
Taylor Fritz $111K—Taylor Fritz $27K—
Utah vs. Canadiens
same side · consensus Canadiens
Canadiens $26K—Canadiens $2—
Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip Misolic
same side · consensus Filip Misolic
Filip Misolic $16K—Filip Misolic $434—
Cali: Julia Riera vs Renata Zarazua
same side · consensus Julia Riera
Julia Riera $15K—Julia Riera $1.6K—
Villa Maria: Ignacio Monzon vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri
same side · consensus Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Genaro Alberto Olivieri $3.2K—Genaro Alberto Olivieri $858—
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $3.8K—Under $29—
Crystal Palace FC vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.9K—Under $12—
Aarhus GF vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $907—Under $472—
Lillestrøm SK vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702—Under $56—
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $120—Over $273—
RC Celta de Vigo vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $150—Over $124—
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $255—Over $7—