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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026primmRN1THG.
Record (consensus markets)35% (3665–6666, n=10331)50% (1116–1127, n=2243)48% (14146–15606, n=29752)56% (27495–21437, n=48932)
Consensus PnL$3.1M$3.6M$14.8M$25K
Tracked asPM monthly #126PM monthly #52PM monthly #30 + pinnedwas PM monthly #902
Sides with the consensus75% (21 of 28 open)0% (0 of 1 open)56% (33 of 59 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Crypto +14 pts n=10548, ROI +4%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 10548 at avg 86¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢—5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)0% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—41% (won 99% of 418)22% (won 94% of 5682)25% (won 99% of 2670)
Entries 50–70¢—49% (won 99% of 504)35% (won 99% of 9181)0% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up—5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)75% (won 100% of 7872)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026primmRN1THG.
Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $11K—Over $125—
Spread: Nebraska (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Illinois
Illinois $6.5KNebraska $2.0K——
Charlottesville: Max Hans Rehberg vs Aidan Mayo
opposite sides · consensus Aidan Mayo
Aidan Mayo $6.2K—Max Hans Rehberg $82—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2K—Over $1.6K—
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
Celtics $1.9K—Hornets $124—
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Spurs $265—Kings $243—
Spread: Raptors (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
Bucks $182—Raptors $121—
Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Sumit Nagal
same side · consensus Kilian Feldbausch
Sumit Nagal $4.2K—Sumit Nagal $997—
Celtics vs. Hornets: O/U 208.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $4.6K—Over $254—
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Zsombor Piros
same side · consensus Zsombor Piros
Zsombor Piros $1.1K—Zsombor Piros $644—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K—Over $360—
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Cavaliers
Cavaliers $1.5K—Cavaliers $57—