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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026primmRN1TMingchan
Record (consensus markets)43% (11779–15353, n=27132)47% (1430–1597, n=3027)48% (19699–21461, n=41160)56% (35–28, n=63)
Consensus PnL-$9.5M$3.7M$14.9M$38K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #40PM monthly #35 + pinnedPM monthly #656
Sides with the consensus56% (5 of 9 open)no open consensus position58% (25 of 43 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +50 pts n=28, ROI +50%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 28 at avg 50¢, ROI +50%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)5% (won 95% of 59)10% (won 57% of 2594)0%
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)40% (won 99% of 512)22% (won 94% of 5704)46% (won 100% of 13)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)50% (won 100% of 633)35% (won 99% of 9204)54% (won 100% of 15)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)5% (won 100% of 65)33% (won 100% of 8622)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026primmRN1TMingchan
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris
Liam Broady $2.0K—Billy Harris $6.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2K—Over $1.8K—
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
Cavaliers $1.5K—Cavaliers $708—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K—Over $360—