Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026primmRN1TheWindKnowsmyName
Record (consensus markets)35% (3646–6660, n=10306)50% (1105–1117, n=2222)48% (14163–15644, n=29807)67% (184–90, n=274)
Consensus PnL$2.9M$3.6M$14.8M-$102K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #558PM monthly #47PM monthly #30 + pinnedwas PM monthly #953
Sides with the consensus67% (16 of 24 open)57% (4 of 7 open)52% (27 of 52 open)49% (93 of 188 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%90% of 186 at avg 69¢, ROI +27%
Entries under 30¢—5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)12% (won 36% of 22)
Entries 30–50¢—41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)14% (won 92% of 26)
Entries 50–70¢—50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)12% (won 96% of 23)
Entries 70¢ and up—5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)62% (won 99% of 115)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026primmRN1TheWindKnowsmyName
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 71.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $550Under $1.6KOver $469—
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $11Under $1.8KOver $62—
Spread: UTSA (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus UTSA
Florida Atlantic $8.7K—UTSA $747—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2K—Over $1.6K—
Spread: James Madison (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Southern Miss
Southern Miss $949James Madison $340——
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $3—Under $313—
Bruins vs. Penguins
same side · consensus Penguins
Penguins $11K—Penguins $72—
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
same side · consensus UTSA
—Florida Atlantic $1.4KFlorida Atlantic $6.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K—Over $360—