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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fkALG2FalconsTESFlaznorpndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)78% (1342–371, n=1713)52% (6603–6153, n=12756)63% (1014–591, n=1605)50% (1151–1158, n=2309)
Consensus PnL$976K$3.7M$4.8M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #171PM monthly #13PM monthly #98PM monthly #47
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position69% (209 of 305 open)73% (62 of 85 open)71% (12 of 17 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +22 pts n=1282, ROI +7%
  • NBA +13 pts n=512, ROI +6%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won92% of 1798 at avg 73¢, ROI +7%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 73% of 83)29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢17% (won 84% of 298)16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢25% (won 88% of 448)15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up54% (won 98% of 969)40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketfkALG2FalconsTESFlaznorpndb1primm
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $17KUnder $6.4K—
Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee
same side · consensus Middle Tennessee
—Middle Tennessee $1.2K—Middle Tennessee $4.9K